Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 59.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
