SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
25.38% ( 1.1) | 23.42% ( 0.27) | 51.2% ( -1.37) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.36% ( -0.18) | 43.63% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.97% ( -0.17) | 66.02% ( 0.17) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( 0.8) | 30.85% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.86% ( 0.93) | 67.13% ( -0.93) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( -0.56) | 17.1% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.69% ( -1) | 47.3% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.9% Total : 25.38% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.96% Total : 51.2% |
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