Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 50.79%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
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