SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 71.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 11.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
71.44% ( -0.29) | 17.12% ( 0.18) | 11.44% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.05% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.75% ( -0.56) | 38.24% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.48% ( -0.6) | 60.52% ( 0.6) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.54% ( -0.21) | 9.46% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.23% ( -0.5) | 31.77% ( 0.5) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.39% ( -0.19) | 43.61% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.2% ( -0.15) | 79.8% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 2-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.99% Total : 71.44% | 1-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 17.12% | 0-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.22% Total : 11.44% |
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