SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
49.78% ( -0.11) | 24.3% ( 0.02) | 25.91% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.91% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.94% ( -0.01) | 47.06% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.7% ( -0.01) | 69.3% ( 0) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.06% ( -0.05) | 18.94% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.54% ( -0.08) | 50.46% ( 0.08) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.75% ( 0.07) | 32.25% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.25% ( 0.08) | 68.75% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 49.78% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 25.91% |
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