SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Spartans in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Spartans |
30.53% ( -0.46) | 25.94% ( 0.36) | 43.52% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.88% ( -1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.77% ( -1.68) | 51.23% ( 1.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.94% ( -1.49) | 73.06% ( 1.49) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( -1.17) | 30.96% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.74% ( -1.39) | 67.26% ( 1.39) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( -0.68) | 23.41% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.6% ( -1) | 57.4% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.99% Total : 30.53% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.99% Total : 43.52% |
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