SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
37.16% ( -0.02) | 26.11% ( -0) | 36.73% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.36% ( 0.02) | 50.64% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.45% ( 0.02) | 72.55% ( -0.02) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( -0) | 26.48% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.33% ( -0.01) | 61.67% ( 0) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% ( 0.02) | 26.73% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38% ( 0.03) | 61.99% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.16% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 36.73% |
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