Ayr
2 - 1
QotS

Miller (13', 18')
Reading (33'), McCowan (61'), Roscoe (73')
McCowan (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Dobbie (56' pen.)
Maxwell (22'), Dobbie (69')
Maxwell (66')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Queen of the South.

The Match

Match Report

Queen of the South's James Maxwell and Ayr's Luke McCowan were both sent off.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Queen of the South
46.89%	26.28%	26.82%

Both teams to score 49.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.57%

54.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.2%

75.8%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.8%

23.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.91%

57.09%

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.54%

35.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.78%

72.22%

Score Analysis

Ayr United 46.89%

Queen of the South 26.82%

Draw 26.28%

Ayr United	Draw	Queen of the South
1-0 @ 12.01% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.8% Total : 46.89%	1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 8.53% 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.02% Total : 26.82%