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Thursday, March 28
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AU
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 5
Nov 21, 2020 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
DL

Ayr
2 - 0
Dundee

Smith (3'), Moffat (16')
Sinisalo (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Byrne (73'), Marshall (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawDundee
39.6%26.07%34.33%
Both teams to score 53.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.34%50.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43%72.56%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85%25.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14%59.86%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83%28.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14%63.85%
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 39.6%
    Dundee 34.33%
    Draw 26.06%
Ayr UnitedDrawDundee
1-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 8.55%
2-0 @ 6.75%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 39.6%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.08%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.97%
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 5.69%
1-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 2.29%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 34.33%


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