Ayr
2 - 0
Dundee

Smith (3'), Moffat (16')
Sinisalo (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Byrne (73'), Marshall (90+1')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

Michael Moffat hits 100th Ayr goal in victory over Dundee.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Dundee
39.6%	26.07%	34.33%

Both teams to score 53.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.34%

50.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.43%

72.56%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85%

25.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.14%

59.86%

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83%

28.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.14%

63.85%

Score Analysis

Ayr United 39.6%

Dundee 34.33%

Draw 26.06%

Ayr United	Draw	Dundee
1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 6.75% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.56% Total : 39.6%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.08% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 8.97% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.77% Total : 34.33%