Morton
3 - 2
Ayr

Oliver (83'), Blues (85'), Strapp (88')
Salkeld (49')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Strapp (32' og.), Smith (74')
Muirhead (52')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

The home side scored three times in the final seven minutes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Ayr United
41.66%	25.55%	32.78%

Both teams to score 55.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.21%

48.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.11%

70.89%

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.74%

23.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.82%

57.17%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77%

28.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.07%

63.93%

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 41.66%

Ayr United 32.78%

Draw 25.55%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 9.57% 2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 6.98% 3-1 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.66%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.56% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.55%	0-1 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.78%