Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
