Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Kilmarnock
38.7%	28.76%	32.53%

Both teams to score 45.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.75%

61.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.82%

81.18%

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3%

30.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.04%

66.95%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.26%

34.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.53%

71.47%

Score Analysis

Motherwell 38.7%

Kilmarnock 32.53%

Draw 28.75%

Motherwell	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 12.59% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 1.64% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.7%	1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.75%	0-1 @ 11.27% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.21% Total : 32.53%