QotS
0 - 1
Raith Rovers

Shields (77'), Obileye (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ugwu (17')
Armstrong (89')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

The striker's second league strike of the season proved enough to win the game.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Queen of the South	Draw	Raith Rovers
26.2%	23.39%	50.42%

Both teams to score 58.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.22%

42.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.82%

65.19%

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.24%

29.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.17%

65.84%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.93%

17.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.74%

47.26%

Score Analysis

Queen of the South 26.2%

Raith Rovers 50.42%

Draw 23.38%

Queen of the South	Draw	Raith Rovers
2-1 @ 6.6% 1-0 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 3.73% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.18% Total : 26.2%	1-1 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.38%	1-2 @ 9.62% 0-1 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 7.94% 1-3 @ 5.67% 0-3 @ 4.68% 2-3 @ 3.43% 1-4 @ 2.51% 0-4 @ 2.07% 2-4 @ 1.52% Other @ 4% Total : 50.42%