Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
