SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Johnstone in this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 37.47% | 24.96% | 37.56% |
| Both teams to score 57.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.51% | 45.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.18% | 67.81% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% | 23.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.84% | 58.15% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% | 23.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.91% | 58.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 2-1 @ 8.37% 1-0 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.01% Total : 37.47% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-1 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 4% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.56% |
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