Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Johnstone in this match.
