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ML
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2020 at 12pm UK
Fir Park Stadium
CL

Motherwell
1 - 4
Celtic

Gallagher (72')
Maguire (43'), Cole (53'), Watt (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Elyounoussi (8', 27', 76'), Ntcham (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 60.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Motherwell win it was 1-0 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawCeltic
17.97%21.4%60.62%
Both teams to score 53.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17%43.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78%66.22%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62%38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23%74.77%
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99%14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.46%41.54%
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 17.97%
    Celtic 60.61%
    Draw 21.4%
MotherwellDrawCeltic
1-0 @ 5.15%
2-1 @ 4.9%
2-0 @ 2.49%
3-1 @ 1.58%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 17.97%
1-1 @ 10.12%
0-0 @ 5.32%
2-2 @ 4.81%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.4%
0-1 @ 10.46%
0-2 @ 10.28%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-3 @ 6.74%
1-3 @ 6.52%
0-4 @ 3.31%
1-4 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 3.15%
2-4 @ 1.55%
0-5 @ 1.3%
1-5 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 60.61%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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