Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 48.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Johnstone in this match.
