Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 73.29%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 10.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.36%) and 0-3 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-0 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.