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Scottish Cup | Semi-Finals
May 9, 2021 at 2.15pm UK
Hampden Park
SJ

St Mirren
1 - 2
St Johnstone

McCarthy (86')
Shaughnessy (74'), Doyle-Hayes (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kane (72'), Middleton (74')
Wotherspoon (54')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawSt Johnstone
32.11%27.91%39.98%
Both teams to score 47.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.66%58.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.05%78.95%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5%33.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.86%70.14%
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47%28.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7%64.3%
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 32.11%
    St Johnstone 39.97%
    Draw 27.9%
St MirrenDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 7.17%
2-0 @ 5.71%
3-1 @ 2.61%
3-0 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.11%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.56%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 11.98%
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 7.52%
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 1.08%
0-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 39.97%

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