Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Mirren in this match.
