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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stair Park
QP

Stranraer
2 - 5
Queen's Park

Robertson (42'), McLean (45+3')
Ellis (55'), Woods (57')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Murray (9', 28', 45+4'), Savoury (41', 90+2')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Stranraer and Queen's Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stranraer 2-0 Elgin
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-2 Queen's Park
Sunday, May 15 at 1.10pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.

Result
StranraerDrawQueen's Park
33.5% (0.056999999999995 0.06) 26.31% (-0.02 -0.02) 40.19% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.78% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16% (0.099000000000004 0.1)51.84% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4% (0.085999999999999 0.09)73.6% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Stranraer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.085999999999999 0.09)29.27% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (0.104 0.1)65.23% (-0.102 -0.1)
Queen's Park Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62% (0.027000000000001 0.03)25.37% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.82% (0.036000000000001 0.04)60.17% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stranraer 33.5%
    Queen's Park 40.18%
    Draw 26.31%
StranraerDrawQueen's Park
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.3% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 33.5%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 10.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 6.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 40.18%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Stranraer 2-0 Elgin
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-3 Stranraer
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 0-3 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Albion Rovers 0-5 Stranraer
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 0-2 Forfar
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stirling 1-0 Stranraer
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-2 Queen's Park
Sunday, May 15 at 1.10pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Queen's Park 1-1 Airdrieonians
Thursday, May 12 at 7.30pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-1 Queen's Park
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Queen's Park 0-0 Dunfermline
Wednesday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Queen's Park 1-1 Falkirk
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Montrose 2-1 Queen's Park
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Scottish League One


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