Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.
