Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Stranraer win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
