Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
