SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Montrose | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Airdrieonians | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Alloa Athletic | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Clyde | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 6 | -4 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Clyde had a probability of 13.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Clyde win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Clyde |
66.7% ( 0.94) | 19.47% ( -0.38) | 13.83% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.84% ( 0.49) | 43.16% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.44% ( 0.48) | 65.56% ( -0.48) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.97% ( 0.41) | 12.03% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.49% ( 0.85) | 37.51% ( -0.85) |
| Clyde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.03% ( -0.5) | 42.97% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.74% ( -0.43) | 79.26% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Clyde |
| 2-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.43% Total : 66.69% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.92% Total : 19.47% | 0-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.45% Total : 13.83% |
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