SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Clyde | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 4 | Edinburgh City | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Falkirk | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 6 | Alloa Athletic | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | Montrose | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
55.06% ( -0.7) | 23.85% ( 0.26) | 21.09% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 50.72% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.12% ( -0.55) | 49.87% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.13% ( -0.49) | 71.87% ( 0.49) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.01% ( -0.46) | 17.98% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.16% ( -0.79) | 48.84% ( 0.79) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.84% ( 0.14) | 38.15% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.08% ( 0.13) | 74.92% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.42% Total : 55.05% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.54% Total : 21.09% |
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