Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
Airdrieonians	Draw	Falkirk
45.59% ( -0.01)	25.53% ( -0.05)	28.88% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 53.28% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.71% (

0.24)

50.29% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.76% (

0.21)

72.24% (

-0.21)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96% (

0.09)

22.04% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.63% (

0.14)

55.37% (

-0.14)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.34% (

0.17)

31.66% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.92% (

0.19)

68.08% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Airdrieonians 45.59%

Falkirk 28.88%

Draw 25.52%

Airdrieonians	Draw	Falkirk
1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.59%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.88%