Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
