Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Montrose
53.5%	22.29%	24.21%

Both teams to score 59.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.45%

39.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.1%

61.9%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.17%

14.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.86%

43.14%

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.41%

29.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.38%

65.62%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 53.5%

Montrose 24.21%

Draw 22.28%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Montrose
2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 6.19% 3-0 @ 5.08% 3-2 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 2.95% 4-0 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.12% Total : 53.5%	1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 4.39% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.28%	1-2 @ 6.21% 0-1 @ 5.34% 0-2 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.16% Total : 24.21%

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Kilmarnock
3 - 1
Montrose

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