SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Stranraer win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Edinburgh City |
20.12% ( 0.06) | 22.29% ( 0.05) | 57.58% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.47% ( -0.15) | 44.53% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.1% ( -0.15) | 66.9% ( 0.15) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% ( -0.02) | 36.09% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.12% ( -0.02) | 72.87% ( 0.02) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.79% ( -0.09) | 15.2% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.16% ( -0.17) | 43.84% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 1-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.12% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.73% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.11% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.58% |
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