Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Annan Athletic | Draw | Stranraer |
51.85% ( 0.09) | 22.92% ( -0.27) | 25.23% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 58.88% ( 1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.51% ( 1.37) | 41.49% ( -1.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.11% ( 1.38) | 63.89% ( -1.38) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.91% ( 0.53) | 16.09% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.52% ( 0.96) | 45.48% ( -0.96) |
Stranraer Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.17% ( 0.87) | 29.83% ( -0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.09% ( 1.05) | 65.91% ( -1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Annan Athletic | Draw | Stranraer |
2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.49% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.14% Total : 25.23% |
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