Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.