Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 42%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
