Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
