Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 15.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
