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Scottish League One | Gameweek 4
Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK
Bayview Stadium
D

East Fife
2 - 1
Dumbarton

Hamilton (17'), Wallace (69')
Dunsmore (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wilson (61')
Carswell (73')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between East Fife and Dumbarton.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.

Result
East FifeDrawDumbarton
45.84%24.91%29.25%
Both teams to score 55.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52%47.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31%69.69%
East Fife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24%20.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.6%53.4%
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05%29.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.94%66.06%
Score Analysis
    East Fife 45.84%
    Dumbarton 29.25%
    Draw 24.91%
East FifeDrawDumbarton
1-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 9.26%
2-0 @ 7.69%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 45.84%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 6.22%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.5%
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-2 @ 4.52%
1-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 29.25%


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