Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.