SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Airdrieonians | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Edinburgh City | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dunfermline Athletic | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Edinburgh City | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dunfermline Athletic | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
32.42% ( 0.64) | 26.56% ( 0.47) | 41.01% ( -1.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.69% ( -1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.89% ( -1.74) | 53.11% ( 1.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.31% ( -1.5) | 74.68% ( 1.5) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.39% ( -0.44) | 30.61% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.16% ( -0.52) | 66.84% ( 0.53) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( -1.35) | 25.51% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.63% ( -1.88) | 60.36% ( 1.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.42% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.52)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.39% Total : 41.01% |
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