Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
-0.2) 
0.03) 
