Scottish League Cup | Group Stage

Jul 23, 2022 at 3pm UK

St Mirren Park

St Mirren
3 - 1
Edinburgh

O'Hara (8' pen.), Ayunga (25', 46')
Tait (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Handling (53')
Brian (12'), Tapping (45+1'), Shanley (79')

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between St Mirren and Edinburgh City.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

Last Six:

Last Game: Airdrieonians 2-0 St Mirren
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Ross County	0	0	0
11	St Johnstone	0	0	0
12	St Mirren	0	0	0

Edinburgh City

Last Six:

Last Game: Edinburgh 3-0 Cowdenbeath
Wednesday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Dunfermline Athletic	0	0	0
5	Edinburgh City	0	0	0
6	Falkirk	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Edinburgh City
55.13% ( -0.2)	24.87% ( 0.03)	20% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 46.23% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.96% (

0.06)

55.04% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.7% (

0.05)

76.3% (

-0.05)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.08% (

-0.05)

19.92% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.93% (

-0.09)

52.07% (

0.09)

Edinburgh City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.74% (

0.21)

42.26% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.34% (

0.18)

78.66% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

St Mirren 55.12%

Edinburgh City 20%

Draw 24.87%

St Mirren	Draw	Edinburgh City
1-0 @ 13.58% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.57% Total : 55.12%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 20%