Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
