SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Dunfermline Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Edinburgh City | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ayr United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Arbroath |
20.23% ( -0.02) | 25.84% ( -0.01) | 53.93% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.98% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.81% | 58.19% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.16% | 78.84% ( 0) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.15% ( -0.03) | 43.85% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20% ( -0.02) | 80% ( 0.02) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.32% ( 0.02) | 21.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.18% ( 0.02) | 54.82% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.94% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.36% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.23% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0)Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 14.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.1% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.16% 0-3 @ 5.66% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 53.92% |
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