Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Alloa Athletic
45.43% ( 0.29)	25.46% ( 0.04)	29.1% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 53.63% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.11% (

-0.31)

49.89% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.12% (

-0.28)

71.88% (

0.28)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.06% (

21.94% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.78% (

55.22% (

-0)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.71% (

-0.4)

31.29% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.35% (

-0.46)

67.65% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 45.43%

Alloa Athletic 29.1%

Draw 25.45%

Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Alloa Athletic
1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.43%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.1%