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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
East End Park
AA

Dunfermline
1 - 1
Alloa

Hamilton (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sammon (59')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Dunfermline AthleticDrawAlloa Athletic
45.43% (0.291 0.29) 25.46% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 29.1% (-0.326 -0.33)
Both teams to score 53.63% (-0.309 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.11% (-0.314 -0.31)49.89% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.12% (-0.282 -0.28)71.88% (0.28099999999999 0.28)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.06% (0.0019999999999953 0)21.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)55.22% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71% (-0.398 -0.4)31.29% (0.398 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.35% (-0.464 -0.46)67.65% (0.465 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Dunfermline Athletic 45.43%
    Alloa Athletic 29.1%
    Draw 25.45%
Dunfermline AthleticDrawAlloa Athletic
1-0 @ 10.41% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 45.43%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.87% (0.087 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.047999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 29.1%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ross County 1-0 Dunfermline
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dunfermline 5-0 Buckie Thistle
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: East Fife 0-2 Dunfermline
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-1 Queen's Park
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Queen's Park 0-0 Dunfermline
Wednesday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-2 QotS
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Alloa 0-2 Ross County
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Buckie Thistle 1-4 Alloa
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Alloa 1-1 East Fife (5-5 pen.)
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Alloa 4-1 Montrose
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 1-2 Alloa
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Cove Rangers 3-0 Alloa
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Scottish League One


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