Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
