Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
Falkirk	Draw	Queen of the South
49.2% ( -0.11)	24.74% ( -0.02)	26.07% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 53.65% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.21% (

0.2)

48.8% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.1% (

0.19)

70.9% (

-0.17)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.13% (

0.04)

19.87% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.03% (

0.05)

51.97% (

-0.04)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.95% (

0.22)

33.06% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.36% (

0.25)

69.65% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Falkirk 49.19%

Queen of the South 26.07%

Draw 24.73%

Falkirk	Draw	Queen of the South
1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 49.19%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.73%	0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 26.07%