SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 4 | Edinburgh City | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Edinburgh City | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 6 | Alloa Athletic | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Falkirk |
30.41% ( -0.27) | 25.67% ( 0.27) | 43.92% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.68% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.84% ( -1.29) | 50.16% ( 1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.87% ( -1.15) | 72.12% ( 1.15) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.5% ( -0.84) | 30.5% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.28% ( -1.01) | 66.72% ( 1) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( -0.55) | 22.76% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.55% ( -0.82) | 56.45% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.1% Total : 30.41% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.14% Total : 43.91% |
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