SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
38.46% ( -1.96) | 24.8% ( 0.76) | 36.74% ( 1.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.46% ( -2.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.25% ( -3.52) | 44.75% ( 3.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.89% ( -3.49) | 67.11% ( 3.48) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( -2.5) | 23.08% ( 2.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.07% ( -3.8) | 56.93% ( 3.8) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( -0.97) | 23.99% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.76% ( -1.4) | 58.24% ( 1.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.63)2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.43)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.4)3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.29)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.46% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.32)0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.8)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.94)0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.53)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.02% Total : 36.74% |
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