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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
57.62% ( 0.13) | 21.84% ( -0.05) | 20.54% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.41% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.08% ( 0.13) | 41.91% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.68% ( 0.13) | 64.32% ( -0.12) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.69% ( 0.09) | 14.31% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.87% ( 0.16) | 42.13% ( -0.15) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.83% ( 0.01) | 34.17% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.13% ( 0) | 70.86% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 57.62% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 20.54% |
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