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Scottish League One | Gameweek 15
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
New Central Park
EC

Kelty Hearts
3 - 2
Edinburgh

McGlynn (26', 55'), Cunningham (82')
Owens (77'), Johnston (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McDonald (18'), Marshall (90+2')
Faye (23'), McDonald (35'), Flatman (87'), McNamara (90')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Edinburgh City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-0 QotS
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Montrose 3-0 Edinburgh
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 69.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.

Result
Kelty HeartsDrawEdinburgh City
69.87% (4.24 4.24) 17.66% (-1.575 -1.58) 12.46% (-2.667 -2.67)
Both teams to score 52.51% (-1.945 -1.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.94% (1.176 1.18)38.06% (-1.179 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.67% (1.242 1.24)60.32% (-1.245 -1.25)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.21% (1.387 1.39)9.79% (-1.389 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.47% (3.134 3.13)32.53% (-3.138 -3.14)
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.21% (-3.099 -3.1)41.79% (3.097 3.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.75% (-2.821 -2.82)78.25% (2.818 2.82)
Score Analysis
    Kelty Hearts 69.87%
    Edinburgh City 12.46%
    Draw 17.66%
Kelty HeartsDrawEdinburgh City
2-0 @ 11.04% (0.66 0.66)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.56% (0.973 0.97)
3-1 @ 7.47% (0.265 0.27)
4-0 @ 4.97% (0.817 0.82)
4-1 @ 4.34% (0.393 0.39)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.162 -0.16)
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.491 0.49)
5-1 @ 2.02% (0.288 0.29)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 4.87%
Total : 69.87%
1-1 @ 8.29% (-0.705 -0.71)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.477 -0.48)
0-0 @ 4.09% (-0.235 -0.23)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.66%
1-2 @ 3.62% (-0.654 -0.65)
0-1 @ 3.57% (-0.538 -0.54)
0-2 @ 1.56% (-0.393 -0.39)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.258 -0.26)
1-3 @ 1.05% (-0.3 -0.3)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 12.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-0 QotS
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Edinburgh 0-3 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Stirling 5-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Ayr 3-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-1 Annan
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Cove Rangers 2-2 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Montrose 3-0 Edinburgh
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Edinburgh 0-3 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Annan 3-0 Edinburgh
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Edinburgh 2-2 Falkirk
Saturday, January 13 at 3.30pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 3-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Edinburgh 2-5 Hamilton
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish League One


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