SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Ayr United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dundee | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Falkirk | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Montrose | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
36.34% ( 2.2) | 26.36% ( -0.08) | 37.3% ( -2.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.01% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.27% ( 0.55) | 51.73% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.5% ( 0.47) | 73.5% ( -0.47) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( 1.61) | 27.47% ( -1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% ( 2.03) | 62.96% ( -2.03) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% ( -0.93) | 26.91% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.76% ( -1.23) | 62.24% ( 1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.95% Total : 36.34% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.49)1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.3% |
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