SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
51.79% ( -0.28) | 22.56% ( 0.07) | 25.64% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 60.58% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.55% ( -0.15) | 39.44% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.21% ( -0.16) | 61.78% ( 0.15) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.63% ( -0.15) | 15.37% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.85% ( -0.28) | 44.14% ( 0.27) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% ( 0.07) | 28.42% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.83% ( 0.09) | 64.17% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.85% Total : 51.79% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.51% Total : 25.64% |
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