SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 9.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.37%) and 3-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Montrose |
73.62% ( -0.45) | 16.43% ( 0.09) | 9.95% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 47.97% ( 1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.6% ( 0.71) | 39.4% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.26% ( 0.74) | 61.74% ( -0.74) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.76% ( 0.07) | 9.24% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.74% ( 0.17) | 31.25% ( -0.17) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.85% ( 1.2) | 47.15% ( -1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.4% ( 0.89) | 82.6% ( -0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.33) 1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.08)6-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.78% Total : 73.6% | 1-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.78% Total : 16.43% | 0-1 @ 3.28% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.51% Total : 9.95% |
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