Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alloa Athletic in this match.