Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Falkirk
18.17% ( 0.2)	22.7% ( 0.04)	59.13% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 49.55% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.96% (

0.14)

49.04% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.88% (

0.12)

71.12% (

-0.12)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.15% (

0.32)

40.85% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.58% (

0.28)

77.42% (

-0.28)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.77% (

-0.03)

16.24% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.25% (

-0.06)

45.76% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 18.17%

Falkirk 59.13%

Draw 22.7%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Falkirk
1-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 18.17%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.7%	0-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.96% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.64% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 59.13%